Reuters- Wall Street racked up gains on Wednesday after the U.S. Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, for now leaving intact the low-rate environment that has helped underpin the bull market.
The Nasdaq closed at a record high.
The central bank strongly signaled it could still tighten monetary policy by the end of this year as the labor market improved further.
Earlier on Wednesday, global markets reacted to the Bank of Japan’s abrupt shift to targeting interest rates on government bonds to achieve its elusive inflation target.
Traders generally had not expected the Fed to raise rates, with bets before the meeting of only an 18 percent chance of a hike, according to the CME FedWatch website.
“There was just a little bit of doubt in everybody’s mind that maybe they would go ahead and raise rates now and that got cleared up … people felt free to put some money into equities,” said Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel in Charlottesville, Virginia.
“Couple that with the BOJ lower-for-longer news story from earlier today and the equity market is doing well,” Tuz said.
The Dow Jones industrial average rose 163.74 points, or 0.9 percent, to 18,293.7, the S&P 500 gained 23.36 points, or 1.09 percent, to 2,163.12 and the Nasdaq Composite added 53.83 points, or 1.03 percent, to 5,295.18.
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Logic Trading Analysis:
BURSA MALAYSIA MARKET IDEAS THURSDAY (22/09/2016):
FBMKLCI FINDING A NEW THEME (BUDGET 2017)
Dear All,
The FBMKLCI closed higher at +2.95 point or +0.18% to close at 1658.73.
Yesterday our FBMKLCI slightly green closing and moving sideways. At least showing positive sign for our market.
DJIA Futures react positively on BOJ policy, and also remain positive before FOMC meeting. So far everythings look fine. Hopefully no sudden crash down again and slowly pointing upward again.
Yesterday is a good day goreng day starting to see more goreng mood come back again. But mostly on Metal stocks. And of course MYEG, PENSONI our past two day picks doing pretty awesome.
As for today, we will monitor some of the stock like: TUNEPRO, INARI, OLDTOWN, and a few other.
Be be Cutie cat and not the Escape mouse this Thursday !
“Goreng Tetap Goreng” !
Yours Sincerely,
Logic Trading Analysis
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TheBursa Analyst:
Thursday, 22 September 2016
ATTN: ALL Bursa Traders,
The FBMKLCI closed higher, recovering after lunch at 1658.73 (+2.95or +0.18%). It seems that the KLCI is quite bullish and after a hammer, we have a white candlestick normally as confirmation of bearish reversal. Lets hope that the KLCI can maintain its bullishness back to 1680.
Meanwhile, our neighbouring market outlook for the day are:
• Australia S&P/ASX200 closed higher at 5,280.51 (+36.13 or +0.69%)
• China A50 closed higher at 9,610.30 (+14.47 or +0.15%)
• Hong Kong HSI closed higher at 23,669.9 (+139.04 or +0.59)
• Indonesia’s IDX Composite closed higher at 5,342.59 (+40.1 or + 0.76%)
• Japan’s Nikkei Closed higher at 16,807.62 (+315.47 or +1.91%)
• South Korea KOSPI closed higher at 2,035.99 (+10.28 or +0.51%)
• Taiwan Weighted closed higher at 9,228.50 (+66.93 or 0.73%)
• The USD opened weaker against our MYR at 4.132 but is continue to climb as of now.
• Crude Oil prices closed higher at 44.05.
DJIA closed at 18,129.96 and opened high at 18,164.96.
All our neighboring markets are very bullish including out KLSE. Today we will know the FOMC outcome. From market reaction, seems like there will be no interest rate hike, mainly due to weaker economy data from the USA. Also look at all the markets !! either they are no fear against the FOMC outcome or they are just reacting happily from BOJ maintaining -0.1%
Stocks to watch are:
SIGN: this company makes household stuffs. Can monitor. Cut if break RM 0.925.
I am bullish on iqgroup, funny nobody want to sell. Wait until all the weak shareholders are being kickoff the boat then we shall set sail !
IQGROUP: strongly supported at RM2.27. I think it is hard to wait at RM 2.18, more realistically hope break the RM 2.27 support which then will break to RM2.21 is a ideal entry for those who have yet to grab the ticket.
Stocks follow up :
AirAsia: A harami formed ! those who got this just ride back to RM 2.94. cut if break RM2.77
Salute: hammer formed on the support of RM1.32 !! more to come.
VS: healthy correction. Support formed on RM1.37 and can consider to enter on support. Cut if Support is broken.
PWF: Closed at RM 0.730 This one more towards midterm and can start collection at this level.
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Dzulhilman M+ WM PR Traders:
Salam and Morning All
MACRO : Wall Street racked up gains on Wednesday after the U.S. Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, for now leaving intact the low-rate environment that has helped underpin the bull market (investing. com). Oil is up by 2% after OPEC talks with non-OPEC to stabilise oil price.
MICRO : Ringgit is strengthens against USD strongly. Index rebounded slightly yesterday as expected. Budget talk is coming next month.
WHAT TO EXPECT? : Market looks good to have a rebound and retest 1700 level. Traders might want to long on selected counters, mainly with good FA’s and government linked as nation budget is coming next month. Usual suspect are the likes of FGV DSONIC MRCB UEMS MYEG and the likes. Please study them and make your own informed decision.
Below are my Watch list (22/09/2016)
TNLOGIS
EP : ABOVE 1.650
SL : BELOW 1.610
TP : 1.880
DSONIC
EP : ABOVE 1.540
SL : BELOW 1.490
TP :
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Trading Ideas Bursa Malaysia:
UOBKH Retail Market Monitor 22 September 2016
FBMKLCI 1,658.73 (+2.95,+0.18%)
Support: 1,648, 1,640
Resistance: 1,692, 1,700
The index rose on a technical rebound, buoyed by positive sentiment in
the overnight US market.
Top Gainers: Genting Malaysia (+4.2%), YTL Corporation (+2.3%) and
Genting Bhd (+1.9%)
Top Losers: British American Tobacco (-2.6%), Axiata Group (-1.7%) and
IHH Healthcare (-1.4%)
Bursa Trade Statistics (RM):
Local Institutions (59.50%): net Sell RM187.30 million
Local Retail (16.60%) net Buy RM0.10 million
Foreign (23.90%) net Buy RM187.20 million
MSCI Asia Pacific Index (+1.40%)
S&P500 2,163.12 (+1.09%)
DJIA 18,293.90 (+0.90%)
USDMYR 4.1008
SGDMYR 3.0300
Crude Oil $45.34
Gold $1,331.40
On Wednesday, US stocks rallied after the US Fed opted to keep
interest rates unchanged as it sought further evidence of economic
strength. The policy-setting FOMC, in a 7-to-3 vote, opted to keep
rates steady in what Chairwoman Janet Yellen described as a “new
normal” as central banks elsewhere around the globe embark upon
quantitative-easing measures. Yellen also said she is “pleased with”
the health of the economy. The BOJ kept its deposit rate unchanged at
negative 0.1%. It also introduced a zero interest-rate target for
10-year government bonds, part of what analysts are calling “yield
curve control.” BOJ’s decision spurred a global equity rally,
including on Wall Street. Rising stocks outnumbered declining ones on
the NYSE by 2,680 to 518 and 51 ended unchanged.
Stocks to watch:
1) COMINTEL CORPORATION; Technical Buy with +28.2% potential return
*Last: RM0.905 Target: RM1.07, RM1.16 Stop: RM0.795
*Timeframe: 2 weeks to 2 months
2) KHEE SAN; Technical BUY with +22.1% potential return
*Last: RM0.815 Target: RM0.930, RM0.995, Stop: RM0.745
*Timeframe: 2 weeks to 2 months
3) DENKO INDUSTRIAL CORPORATION; Technical BUY with +28.8% potential return
*Last: RM0.365 Target: RM0.440 RM0.470, Stop: RM0.310
*Timeframe: 2 weeks to 2 months
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Trading Ideas Bursa Malaysia:
NOORHASNIZAM BIN HASSAN:
M+ Online Morning Buzz – 21Sep16
Dow Jones: 18,129.96 pts (+9.79pts, +0.05%)
U.S. stockmarkets trended sideways and ended marginally higher ahead of the FOMC meeting, awaiting the decision from the Fed regarding the interest rate move.
FBM KLCI: 1,655.78 pts (+4.07pts, +0.25%)
The FBM KLCI rebounded near the 1,640 level, forming a hammer candle. The FBM KLCI may rebound towards the resistance zone near the 1,660-1,670 levels.
Crude Palm Oil: RM2,693 (+RM51, +1.93%)
Crude palm oil price trended higher towards the RM2,700 level amid weaker Ringgit, coupled with the gains in soybean oil.
WTI Crude Oil: $44.05 (+$0.75, +1.76%)
Crude oil trended slightly higher as American Petroleum Institute reported that crude stockpiles declined 7.5 mln barrels last week.
Gold: $1,314.84 (+$1.65, +0.13%)
Gold rose marginally overnight awaiting the decision by the Fed on the interest rate outlook. Trading range will be located between the US$1,310-US$1,320 levels.
Bursa Malaysia Trade Statistics – 20Sep16
Institutions: Net SELL 157.0 mln (57.5%)
Retail: Net BUY 13.3 mln (16.0%)
Foreign: Net BUY 143.7 mln (26.5%)
Potential Momentum Stocks – 21Sep16
Stock Name: RCECAP (9296)
Entry: Buy above RM1.20
Target: RM1.30 (8.3%), RM1.40 (16.7%)
Stop: RM1.12 (-6.7%)
Shariah: No
Technical: Resistance breakout
Stock Name: MRCB (1651)
Entry: Buy above RM1.32
Target: RM1.50 (13.6%), RM1.60 (21.2%)
Stop: RM1.22 (-7.6%)
Shariah: Yes
Technical: Sideways consolidation breakout
Source: Bloomberg, M+ Online
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Views – 207
Analisis 23/09/2016
Reuters- U.S. stocks climbed on Thursday, with big tech names leading broad gains, building on strength from a day earlier that was fueled by the Federal Reserve’s decision to stand pat on interest rates.
The S&P 500 tallied its best two-day performance in more than two months, while the Nasdaq closed at a record high.
Fed Chair Janet Yellen said on Wednesday that U.S. growth was looking stronger and rate increases would be needed to keep the economy from overheating and fuelling high inflation. But the central bank maintained the low-interest rate environment that has helped underpin the bull market for stocks.
“Lower for longer is a good thing for the equity markets…” said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago. “It basically says risk back on.”
The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI rose 98.76 points, or 0.54 percent, to 18,392.46, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 14.06 points, or 0.65 percent, to 2,177.18 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added 44.34 points, or 0.84 percent, to 5,339.52.
The three indexes recorded their third straight session of gains.
Concerns over whether the Fed would raise rates prompted a return of stock market volatility in recent weeks after two months of calm. For the year, the benchmark S&P 500 is up 6.5 percent.
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Companies in News
Carimin Petroleum Bhd is seeking shareholders’ approval for its proposed diversification into the construction business, following the downturn in the oil and gas industry. It targets to complete the proposal by the fourth quarter of 2016.
Malaysia Airports Holdings Bhd rose as much as 56 sen or 8% to RM7.30 earlier today on speculation the Malaysian Cabinet had approved an upward revision to the airport passenger service charge (PSC).
Daya Materials Bhd’s engineering and construction unit has bagged a RM224 million contract to build retail facilities for Aspen Vision City Sdn Bhd in Batu Kawan, Penang.
DRB-Hicom Bhd is planning to sell its 90% stake in Corwin Holding Pte Ltd, which owns properties in Singapore, again. But the selling price has been slashed by 40% when compared to an earlier planned disposal that was announced in December last year.
Berjaya Land Bhd (BLand), which posted a net loss in the first quarter ended July 31, 2016 (1QFY17), is buying 871.01 acres of freehold lands in Sungai Tinggi, Ulu Selangor to boost its land bank via a related party transaction for RM155 million or RM177,954 per acre.
NetX Holdings Bhd plans to cancel three sen off the par value of its ordinary shares of five sen each to two sen, which could raise up to RM56.3 million to eliminate accumulated losses of RM37.3 million.
Crude Oil: 45.98m -0.24%
Brent Oil: 47.47 -0.11%
Gold: 1,340.95 +0.03%
Silver: 19.953 +0.02%
USD/MYR: RM4.11
SGD/MYR: RM3.03
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CH SEOW: M+ Online Market Wrap–22Sep16
FBM KLCI: 1,669.66 pts (+10.93 pts, +0.66%)
Tracking the gains on Wall Street after Federal Reserve kept the interest rates unchanged; the FBM KLCI surged higher on the back of strong buying activities among government-linked companies, boosting the key index to close near the 1,670 level. Market breadth stayed positive with advancers overwhelmed decliners by a ratio of 529-to-313 stocks. GLCs that were under traders’ radar include FGV (+9.0 sen), DRBHCOM (+3.0 sen), UEMS (+9+.0 sen) and MRCB (+6.0 sen).
Top 3 Active stocks:
SCBUILD (0109): RM0.045 (+0.5 sen)
SANCHI (0133): RM0.09 (unch)
BORNOIL (7036): RM0.185 (+1.0 sen)
Volume: 2.11 bln (3-month avg vol: 1.89 bln)
Value: RM2.23 bln
Market Breadth: ⬆:529 ⬇:313
Crude palm oil: RM2,702 (+RM25)
Dow Futures: 18,228 pts (+10 pts)
Source: Bloomberg, M+ Online
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TheBursa Analyst:
Thursday, 23 September 2016
ATTN: ALL Bursa Traders,
Yesterday all the GLC counters like UEMS FGV MBSB MRCB DRB MAYBANK moved like rhinoceros ! Crazier than bull !
The FBMKLCI closed higher 1,669.66 (+10.93 or + 0.66%). It seems that the KLCI is bullish and after a hammer, we have a white candlestick normally as confirmation of bearish reversal. This has been confirmed ! Also maybe because EFP is flooding some money into the market to support KLCI and improve liquidity. Anyway lets hope that the KLCI can maintain its bullishness back to 1680.
Meanwhile, our neighbouring market outlook for the day are:
• Australia S&P/ASX200 closed higher at 5,316.06 (+35.55 or +0.67%)
• China A50 closed higher at 9,678.62 (+68.32 or +0.71%)
• Hong Kong HSI closed higher at 23,759.8 (+89.9 or +0.38%)
• Indonesia’s IDX Composite closed higher at 5,380.26 (+37.67 or +0.71%)
• Japan’s Nikkei Closed higher at 16,807.62 (+315.47 or +1.91%)
• South Korea KOSPI closed higher at 2,049.7 (+13.71 or + 0.67%)
• Taiwan Weighted closed higher at 9,235.26 (+6.76 or +0.07%)
• The USD opened weaker against our MYR at 4.1008 .
• Crude Oil prices closed higher at 45.34.
DJIA closed 18,293.7 and opened high at 18,343.76! A bull is coming ! maybe a small one.
BULLS Everywhere!
As expected, Fed Yellen Speaks That there will BE NO interest hike ! together with Boj to maintain -0.1% Everybody in the market is getting into the mood !
Stocks to watch are:
JTIASA: seems like something coming up. Support is at RM 1.25, cut if it is broken.
NAIM: Seems to be coming already, Cut if break support of RM 1.69
Stocks follow up :
IQGROUP: Closed high of RM 2.33 today ! wonder if any of you entered. but if there is any pullbacks to RM 2.27, don’t hold back ! be confident.
AirAsia: Continue to hug, since gaped up and closed lower but still well supported. cut if break RM2.77
Salute: moved a bit but market still not sure about this stock. Supported at RM1.32 !! cut if break.
PWF: Supports seems to be at this closing level of RM 0.730 after gap up.This one more towards midterm and can start collection at this level.
Hope for a good Friday with all the flying cows and BULLS ! MOOooooooo
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Dzulhilman M+ WM PR Traders:
Salam and Morning All
MACRO : U.S. stocks climbed on Thursday, with big tech names leading broad gains, building on strength from a day earlier that was fueled by the Federal Reserve’s decision to stand pat on interest rates (investing. com). Brent oil is
MICRO : Ringgit strengthens against USD strongly. Index rebounded strongly yesterday.
WHAT TO EXPECT? : Market looks good to go some more. However profit taking should follow either end of today or early next week. It will be short term. Once profit taking subsides, market should continue. Strong FA’s counters should be in your portfolio list.
Below are my Watch list (23/09/2016)
TOPGLOV
EP : ABOVE 4.790
SL : BELOW 4.730
TP : 5.190
CSCENIC
EP : ABOVE 1.750
SL : BELOW 1.710
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U.S. stocks closed higher on Thursday, with the Nasdaq having another record-setting session, as investors digested several economic data releases while processing the Federal Reserve’s latest monetary policy decision.
* Dow +98
* S&P +14
* Nasdaq +44
⛽ Oil prices rose about 2% after a surprise U.S. crude inventory drop and ahead of talks next week between OPEC and other oil producers on curbing oversupply. Oil got an additional lift from a drop in the dollar to its lowest against the yen in four weeks after the U.S. Federal Reserve kept monetary policy unchanged and signaled rates may rise more slowly than it had previously expected.
* Crude oil $46.32 (+0.98)
* Brent crude $47.63 (+0.80)
€ European stocks closed sharply higher as global stocks rallied after the Fed refrained from raising interest rates on Wednesday.
USD/JPY posted a 2-1/2 week low before it recovered.
Gold nears high as the U.S. Federal Reserve signaled an interest rate increase by the end of the year after policy was kept unchanged in September, as expected. Gold futures for December deliverysettled $13.30 higher at $1,344.70 per ounce.
FCPO (RM2725, +48) closed higher on strong support in the late afternoon. Buying followed the MPOA report of unchanged production for 1-20 September vs a month ago. This will result in tight supply as stock will be reduced further. Unless export demand slow, bullish trend may continue. Market was trading easier as strong ringgit and lack of fresh factors. Market will be looking towards the market analysts comment on Global Conference today for further incentives.
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KLSE OUTLOOK FOR 23-09-2016: MALAYSIAN STOCKS RALLIED AFTER THE FED OPTED NOT TO RAISE INTEREST RATES FOR ANOTHER MONTH – BY FRED TAM
Dear all,
Our FBM-KLCI closed higher by 10.95 points or 0.66% at 1669.66. Gainers beat losers by 529 to 313.
Yesterday’s rebound on the KLCI caught market bears by a big surprise. Many had expected that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates, which in turn would scuttle the Dow and global stock markets come Thursday.
But contrary to big bears expectation, the Nasdaq posted a new record close and the S&P 500 and Dow rallied after the Fed opted not to raise interest rates for another month. “Fed Chair Janet Yellen reiterated a cautious approach to future rate increases, even though she argued that the case for an interest rate hike had strengthened,” reported www.kitco.com.
Yesterday saw the Malaysian stock index futures and KLCI opened 10 points and 5 points higher respectively before closing the day at its best level in a week. If the KLCI closes above 1672 today, we would have the pleasure of re-classifying our KLCI back to “bullish mode”. (Note that 1672 is the 200-EMA line separating the bulls from the bears).
Not surprisingly, our TAD stocks featured strongly in yesterday’s market rebound. Of these stocks, the strongest came from Government Linked Companies (GLC) like FGV, DRBHCOM, MRCB, MMCCORP, SIME, POS, UEMS. Their respective warrants did even better.
We were right in our call to over-weight GLCs, for instance, FGV. We made a first buy call on FGV in our 21/6/2016 issue of our newsletter, after our F1-TAD trading system triggered a buy signal on 7/6/2016 @ 1.38/1.52. A second buy call came on 18/7/16 @ 1.67, a third on the 2/8/16 @ 1.82, and so on.
Till today we are still over-weighting FGV. Our targets for FGV are 2.85-2.94 and 3.30-3.37 respectively and these targets were made on the same issue dated 21/6/2016. We are standing by these target levels. But as FGV rises towards these targets we would suggest reducing positions and scale out gradually. This scaling out of positions as price rise further applies to all the stocks suggested herein. Besides knowing when to buy, you need to know when to sell too – and one technique is to sell on rallies as they near our targets.
New and existing stocks-to-watch for today are: (available in our detailed newsletter).
Stocks that are in danger of correcting are: (available in our detailed newsletter).
We expect crude oil to recover, and that could bring back life in oil stocks like SKPETRO and THH.
We are bullish on crude palm oil and expect further rallies to test 2970. This commodity bull will help FGV tremendously.
We expect FKLI stock index futures to recover in tandem with the Dow. We expect Dow to rebound to test old highs to make new highs and along with it, our KLCI. But up to now, we remain very selective on the stocks to pick within the index linked counters.
TGIF. Have a great Friday, happy trading and a nice weekend.
P.S. This weekend, Mr. Nicholas Tan will be here for a two-day workshop entitled “Maximising Stock Profits with Ichimoku and Heikinashi charts”. Venue: Renaissance Hotel, Kuala Lumpur. Time: 9am-5pm. Fee: RM3,000.00. Those who would like to join us, please call Theena at 010-7693731.
Best regards,
Fred Tam
MFTA(USA), M. Phil(MMU)., MSTA(UK).,
CFTe.(USA)., ACCA(UK)
Principal Lecturer of Asia-e-University-PCFTA-EMBA Course
Malaysia’s First Recipient of the Master of
Financial Technical Analysis (IFTA-USA)
F1 Academy of Technical Analysis
Block B, Floor 23A-17, The Scott Garden
Scott Soho Duplex Suite, 289, Jalan Klang Lama
58000 Kuala Lumpur
Contact No:03-7972-4090
Website:www.f1traderacademy.com
www.fredtambookstore.com
www.fredtamnewsletter.com
All rights reserved. The above message contains information which may be confidential or privileged to Fred Tam’s subscription list. If you are not the intended recipient, be aware that any disclosure, copying, distribution or use of the contents of this information is prohibited. If you have received this transmission in error, please notify the sender immediately or contact Fred Tam at fredtam6@gmail.com.
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BURSA MALAYSIA MARKET IDEAS FRIDAY (23/09/2016):
FBMKLCI REBOUND AND GORENG GLC COUNTER
Dear All,
The FBMKLCI closed higher at +10.93 point or +0.66% to close at 1669.66.
Yesterday our FBMKLCI strong rebound which mentioned last few day and the market reflect bullish and positively on FOMC and BOJ meeting.
DJIA also turn back to previous sideways level, which is really amazing. Seems to be no one wanna let it fall further. Since market back to bullish, we just ride on, however I have to say the market go more crazy, then we also don’t become too careless.
Yesterday we call some GLC stock before noon closing like MRCB, UEMS, both doing well, and MBSB also join the party. I hope the party can last longer, or at least till Budget 2017 chair next month.
Follow us, we will not simply give any stock picks everyday :
https://telegram.me/ltachannel !
Once the show start, don’t let it end until it become glory this Friday !
“Goreng Tetap Goreng” !
Yours Sincerely,
Logic Trading Analysis
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Dear trader,
Potential stock to buy today:
23/9/2016
1) Dufu(7233)
Entry Price : 0.64
Target price: 0.70/0.75
Cut loss: 0.575
***syariah
2) Econbhd(5253)
Entry Price : 1.67
Target price: 1.90
Cut loss: 1.43
* syariah
3) Bonia(9288)
Entry Price : 0.625
Target price: 0.705
Cut loss: 0.555
* syariah
4) Eforce (0065)
Entry price: 1.58
Target Price: 1.87
Cut loss: 1.45
* Non-syariah
5) NWP (5025)
Entry price: 0.300
Target Price: 0.34
Cut loss: 0.27
**Syariah
6) Matrix (5236)
Entry price: 2.57
Target price: 2.80
Cut loss: 2.37
** Syariah
Source: RHB Research Institute
Views – 323