Category Archives: Analisa Teknikal

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MARKET OUTLOOK – US election outcome may spark big moves.

Bursa Malaysia declined in the wake of fresh liquidation pressure the past week, pulling the FBM KLCI below the rising trendline of the existing “symmetrical triangle” pattern, thus resulting a breakdown on the daily chart.

Unlike the previous breakdowns in the past, there was no evidence of unusual selling this time round. Instead, the broader market was somewhat calm although sentiment was cautious and the market was down.

Quite obvious, Bursa Malaysia has disregarded technical reading ahead of this week’s hotly contested US presidential election, which is highly likely to influence the global markets direction, including the local bourse in the immediate term.

Make no mistake about it. Global markets will react wildly to the final result of the White House race, similar to the big moves post Brexit outcome, but whether it is up or down this round, will depend on who emerges as the winner.

All is well for a Clinton win which will see equities reversing up and the bulls charging to higher grounds on frenzy buying as the upshot is clear that the bulls are in favour of her.

In the case of a surprise victory for Trump, there is a great possibility markets around the world will sustain the downward momentum on panic selling and should that happen, investors are advised to have an exit plan in place to avoid being caught.

To the upside, the key index will face signficant resistance at 1,680 points. A successful penetration of the 1,700-point psychological barrier will see the bulls becoming more aggressive, en route to 1,730 points and higher.

On the downside, initial support is seen at 1,630 points, A crack of the lower 1,600 points may drag the market lower, either to the 1,554-1,555 point band or the 1,500-1,503 point area.

By K.M Lee – The Star Biz 5/11/2016
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TradingSolution:
Bursa Malaysia Stocks
Monday 7/11/2016
-
Global Market Stocks Trading with Cautions until United States elections

For October, FBMKLCI Index remain Weak & average volume <RM1.5b per day,
Latest Currency exchange is RM4.21

Trade COLD EYE STOCK PICKs
There are 30 stocks pick by cold eye, but which is the best for traders to choose?
For those who aiming for instant profit take, hit and run :
Not all stocks by cold eye can be traded because price of certain stock have too less liquidity, so usually trader will aim for high quantity buy and sell queue to trade to maximize their return :
RGB, large quantity queue at buyer and seller side, by 1 bid move, trader will get a lot of profit in terms of quantity and %

Penta, Hevea, Homeriz , opensys, solution,mmsv has just enough liquidity, its usd stocks, now currency is weaken these 5 best the best to trade as usd strenghten
Rcecap , its very high volatility stock, high risk high gain
Jtiasa, has call warrants can try trade for its call warrant

Airasia & AAX :

Expected to have opportunities in this month until Q3 result out, operator and many traders have joined the party,
The upcoming results are expected to have significant growth in 3QFY16 due to strong demand
Traders have opportunities to perform in AAX and few AAX call warrants such as AAX-cu cv c1 c2 cx…, fast in fast out
Retailers may try to hold airasia, it might hit above RM3
Investors are expected to sell it after 3QFY16 due to passenger service arges effective next year
Any Questions and Suggestions can Email to us : BursaButterfly@outlook.com
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UOBKH Retail Market Monitor 7 November 2016

FBMKLCI 1,648.24 (-0.16,-0.01%)
Support: 1,640, 1,634
Resistance: 1,679, 1,691

Top Gainers: Astro Genting Bhd (+3.04%), AMMB Holdings (+0.97%) and
Westports Holdings (+0.92%)
Top Losers: Astro Malaysia Holdings (-1.44%), Malayan Banking (-1.41%)
and YTL Corporation (-1.29%)

Last Friday, US stocks continued to be dragged down amid signs the
presidential race between the two candidates were narrowing.
Meanwhile, the US economy added 161,000 jobs in October, while the
unemployment rate fell below 5%. Although the job numbers were below
street expectations, traders still see a 71.5% chance of the US Fed to
hike in December, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool. Rising
stocks outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by 1,597 to 1,512 and
121 ended unchanged.

Stocks to watch:
1) MHC PLANTATION; Technical Buy with +19.1% potential return
*Last: RM0.900 Target: RM1.04, RM1.09 Stop: RM0.855
*Timeframe: 2 weeks to 2 months

2) CEPAT WAWASAN GROUP; Technical BUY with +15.8% potential return
*Last: RM0.800 Target: RM0.905, RM0.955 Stop: RM0.760
*Timeframe: 2 weeks to 2 months

3) TITIJAYA LAND; Technical BUY with +12.1% potential return
*Last: RM1.82 Target: RM1.99 RM2.04, Stop: RM1.69
*Timeframe: 2 weeks to 2 months

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Logic Trading Analysis Channel:
BURSA MALAYSIA MARKET IDEAS MONDAY (07/11/2016):

FBMKLCI WAITING RESULT OF US ELECTION

Dear All,

The FBMKLCI closed little up at +0.16 point or +0.01% to close at 1648.24.

FBMKLCI last week is disaster as it fall continuously 5 day but perfect for a short position on the index and we have made pretty happy return from the fall. As for this week, it will be much more exciting awaiting US New Presidence Result.

DJIA although did not breakdown in a big way but in total of about 400 point down and breaking 18000 and the almost two month of sideways. This of course already indicating a downtrend for pre-election result.

As for this week, since all eye on US Election Result, I suggest we continue to wait the good fish swimming into our net at bottom. We love this kind of event that may put market into panic or even too much emotion.

No matter who win, the market remain goreng tetap goreng, short term effect will cause the market big swinging. And the big direction still very depending on any big move made by new President. So I am not too negative at any one win at the moment.

Since this week is crucial, we will only focus on strong moving stock like PESONA, TNLOGIS, EKOVEST, AIRASIA, MYEG and many more stock picks listed in premium groups that we are still waiting they drop into our wealthy net.

It’s almost time and be ready with us !
Welcome to our channel :

https://telegram.me/ltachannel !

Every Success just required a little bit more effort to make it happen this Monday!

“Goreng Tetap Goreng” !

Yours Sincerely,
Logic Trading Analysis

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The Bursa Analyst Channel:
Monday, 7-11-2016

Despite a weak market GLOBALLY and in MALAYSIA last week, we see all the construction sectors are very bullish, maybe can INVEST not trade in these counters as many and more projects are coming up. Construction: GKENT, KERJAYA, KIMLUN, GAMUDA, EKOVEST are top picks, seconds are GADANG (KYY is selling of his shares and does not recommend to buy anymore), WCT, IJM.

This week I will be expecting a REBOUND as current polls shows that CLINTON is leading against TRUMP. As much as I would like to see how AMERICA can be MADE GREAT again, however CLINTON’s foundation is ROCK SOLID. So for me I think Monday if any low price is a good deal. STILL, Take At your Own Risks !

Important stuffs to watch this week are the US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION AND Us Energy Information Admiration Report on their Oil supply.

Oil prices are seen being bearish again once market predicts that they will fail to come to an agreement to cut oil supplies.

MYR/USD is trading around 4.2, and KLCI is lingering around 1650 points. We hope to see it back to 1660 by end of this week after market rebound !
Long term stocks:

DKSH, any good selldown is an opportunity to collect.

Stocks to watch this week 7 November to 11 November are:

PRESBHD : Last week reached a high of 2.40. anything between 2.20-2.25 is a good buy.

ECONBHD (construction): Support 1.79, TP 2.0, TP reached and closed 1.99. And then a lot of profit taking. This is a long term counter. Can continue to monitor to consider to add.

MMSV (LED and semicon in automotive inds): Support 0.64, Tp 0.705. (support broken.) will come back to this counter soon. Cold Eye did mention this counter.

TOMYPAK: Monitor for breakout at 1.65, more attention is at this counter already. It has broken out and staying above 1.65. MORE TO COME.

UEMS: (oversold) Support is at 1.08, TP 1.19. Currently at support, anything close below this support is a CUT.

KIMLUN (construction): support 2.12, TP 2.26 (touched). (bullish counter). TP2: 2.32

ECS: support 1.51 , TP 1.6. Still ok, as long as above support.

MIECO: (export) support 1.0. TP:1.14, already break out with ok volume. this counter weakening due to some strengthening of the Ringgit against USD.

Seems like AMERICA wont be GREAT, however Luckily our MARKET WILL BE SUPERMAN !

Follow The Bursa Analyst Channel for potential stockpicks and daily update.

https://telegram.me/TBAChannel

Views – 158

Reuters-U.S. stocks closed higher on Monday, with the S&P 500 hitting a two-week high on the back of strong earnings and a flurry of deal activity, while the U.S. dollar hovered near a nine-month peak against other world currencies.

However, Canada’s main stock index unofficially closed 0.11 percent lower .GSPTSE as oil and gold prices weighed on shares of energy and mining companies, offsetting gains by financial firms.

Merger and acquisition activity spurred Wall Street, headed by Saturday’s announcement by telecommunications company AT&T Inc (T.N) that it plans to buy Time Warner Inc (TWX.N) for $85.4 billion in what would be the world’s biggest deal this year.

Strong quarterly earnings also boosted investor confidence. Third-quarter earnings are expected to increase 1.1 percent after four consecutive quarters of contraction, according to Thomson Reuters data.

More than a third of the S&P 500 components are scheduled to report earnings this week, including heavyweights such as Apple (AAPL.O) and Boeing (BA.N).

“Consensus is earnings are going to continue to improve in part due to favorable energy prices and to strong consumption patterns here in the U.S.,” said Chad Morganlander, portfolio manager at Stifel Nicolaus in Florham Park, New Jersey.

The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI rose 77.32 points, or 0.43 percent, to 18,223.03, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 10.17 points, or 0.47 percent, to 2,151.33 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added 52.43 points, or 1 percent, to 5,309.83.

The greenback rose on expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate increase in December.

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Tj:
For 25 October  .. Tuesday

iigg  7 daily stocks to watch

Ibhd
Johan
MHC
Mmsv
Opcom
Sime
Umw

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Logic Trading Analysis:
BURSA MALAYSIA MARKET IDEAS

TUESDAY (25/10/2016):

FBMKLCI TURN UP AFTER BUDGET

Dear All,

The FBMKLCI closed higher at +7.78 point or +0.47% to close at 1677.76.

FBMKLCI yesterday doing pretty strong push up and break up from sideways, if this momentum can resume, we can see more stock pushing up.

DJIA still within big sideways correction range, nothing much to talk about, as long as DJIA close green, it will for sure give better goreng sentiment to our local market.

As for today, we are highly focus on AIRASIA, AAX, TUNEPRO, OWG.

The swimmer that remain in the pool will get the pie this Tuesday!

“Goreng Tetap Goreng” !

Yours Sincerely,
Logic Trading Analysis

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TheBursa Analyst:
Tuesday 25 October:

With the Iraqis behaving like this, the OPEC deal will face another problem. This OPEC is bringing a lot of traders and investors alike for a ride of rollercoaster. Congrats if you have earned from it.

WITH Palm oil prices on the rise, and Crude oil prices facing some problem we will see a shift of attention from the Oil and Gas Counters to Palm Oil related counters

Stocks to pay attention are:

Palm Oil : INNO, CEPAT, FGV, MHC

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KLSE StockAlliance:
25/10/2016 Stock Picks
1. COASTAL / ECS / MFCB
2. UCHITEC / SASBADI / SUNSURIA
3. TPC / AMFIRST / MMSV⁠⁠⁠⁠

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M+ Online Morning Buzz – 25Oct16

Dow Jones: 18,145.71 pts (+77.32pts, +0.43%)
U.S. equities trended mildly led by tech and consumer staples stocks, coupled with the anticipation of better-than-expected corporate results. The Dow’s trading range is likely to be seen around 18,000-18,400.

FBM KLCI: 1,677.76 pts (+7.78pts, +0.47%)
The FBM KLCI surged above the 1,670 level after Budget 2017 – construction-related stocks trended higher, while small and mid-cap companies were gaining buying interest as well. The FBM KLCI’s resistance will be envisaged around 1,700.

Crude Palm Oil: RM2,724 (+RM98, +3.60%)
Crude palm oil rocketed towards a fresh two-year high as output declined 11.2% M.o.M, according to MPOB. CPO may trend higher towards RM2,850-RM2,900 on sustained buying momentum.

WTI Crude Oil: $50.85 (+$0.06, +0.12%)
Crude oil extended its sideways consolidation phase as traders are cautious ahead of the OPEC meeting this week. Trading range is likely to be located around US$50-US$52.

Gold: $1,264.44 (-$1.97, -0.16%)
Gold trended lower on the back of stronger US dollar. Gold’s support will be set around the US$1,250 level.

Economic Releases:
US – S&P Case-Shiller House Price Index – 25Oct16, 9:00PM
US – Conference Board Consumer Confidence – 25Oct16, 10:00PM

Bursa Malaysia Trade Statistics – 24Oct16
Institutions:  Net SELL 11.9 mln (60.5%)
Retail:  Net SELL 23.6 mln (15.6%)
Foreign:  Net BUY 35.5 mln (23.9%)

Potential Momentum Stocks – 25Oct16
Stock Name: SASBADI (5252)
Entry: Buy above RM1.20
Target: RM1.28 (6.7%), RM1.40 (16.7%)
Stop: RM1.15 (-4.2%)
Shariah: Yes
Technical: Breakout above RM1.20

Stock Name: BTECH (0011)
Entry: Buy above RM0.345
Target: RM0.385 (11.6%), RM0.42 (21.7%)
Stop: RM0.335 (-2.9%)
Shariah: No
Technical: Gapped up above RM0.345

Source: Bloomberg, M+ Online

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Uob Kay Hian Daily Top Pick, 25 Oct 2016

Btech, 0011
Close, 0.355
Buy TP, 0.395, 0.445
Breakout, 0.36
Support, 0.33
SL, 0.325

Time Frame, 2 Weeks to 2 Months

Pwroot, 7237
Close, 2.15
Buy, TP, 2.34, 2.54
Breakout, 2.17
Support, 2.05
SL, 2.04
Time frame 2 weeks to 2 months

Favco, 7229
Close, 2.40
Buy TP, 2.66, 2.79
Breakout, 2.43
Support, 2.30
SL, 2.29
Time frame, 2 weeks to 3 months

Thanks

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RHB♦Investment Bank Bhd

Dear My Value Clients,
Potential stocks to buy today:
Date/日期 : 25/10/2016

1) DESTINI(7212)
Price/现价           : 0.88
Target price/目标价: 1.00
Cut loss/止损价   : 0.80
**Syariah
Sector/领域: Trading/Services

2) GKENT(3204)
Price/现价           : 2.52
Target price/目标价: 3.00/3.25
Cut loss/止损价    : 2.53
**Syariah
Sector/领域: Trading/Services

3) NYLEX(4944)
Price/现价           : 0.715
Target price/目标价: 0.80/0.85
Cut loss/止损价    : 0.615
**Syariah
Sector/领域: Industrial Product

Source : RHB RESEARCH INSTITUT

Views – 69

Logic Trading Analysis Channel:
BURSA MALAYSIA MARKET IDEAS THURSDAY (20/10/2016):
FBMKLCI SIDEWAYS AGAIN HOPEFULLY TREND UP
Dear All,
The FBMKLCI closed higher at +0.70 point or +0.04% to close at 1668.27.
FBMKLCI remain stable after rebound, now waiting to see BUDGET 2017 able to kick market higher or in another way round.
DJIA also nothing special yet and today will be last US PRESIDENT DEBATE, let’s watch the show and see which President win will have what kind of possible policy made that will affect whole world.
Stock we see further up are like: AAX, AIRASIA, TUNEPRO, DNEX, YEELEE and many more.
The market is full of swing, if have time monitor still got some opportunity around!
Follow us closely !
https://telegram.me/ltachannel !
You cannot escape the responsibility of tomorrow by evading it this Thursday! !
“Goreng Tetap Goreng” !
Yours Sincerely,
Logic Trading Analysis

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The Trusted Bursa Analyst:
Thursday 20/10/2016:

Hot or Cold market surely theres stock which move. Some give live calls and trap others, while others are genuine. All in all, stock market is a zero sum game always remember that. Always make your own decision and take your own risk, as they say TAYOR !!

World market sentiment seems to be getting better, always seize the opportunity while it is there. The ringgit seems to be strengthening against the USD. Oil prices seems to be going higher. Despite Oil price rallying , trade good oil counters such as (SKPETROL, HIBISCS, PETRONM,ARMADA,) DON’T TRADE Those shit companies like PERISAI, already dying, got what ever is left just take don’t hope for miracle. (trade PERISAI CONFIRM LOSE MONEY).

Budget on 2017, stock market rallying. Budget seems to be focusing on:
Construction for Infrastructure such as HSR, MRTs LRTs, Public school, Public stuffs, to gain more voters.
Technology with the WAWASAN 2020 VISION coming up ! remember Internet Of Things : KESM INARI , MYEG (MYEG closed with a new high), IQGROUP

Stocks to watch 20/10/2016:

Pesona: Buy on breakout 0.43. Support 0.415, TP 0.50. Volume start to come in and seems like something is going on.

Yeelee : Support 2.28, Tp:2.36

Komark : Support 0.33, Tp: 0.355

Mflour-WA: Support 0.165. Monitor tp trade.

TEMPTATION Thursday before budget 2017. KLCI So tempted to erect to 1670 !

Follow Your Trusted Bursa Analyst Channel for stockpicks and daily update.

https://telegram.me/TTrustedBA

Views – 73

Reuters-Wall Street ended modestly lower on Monday as energy stocks retreated along with oil prices, while Amazon and Netflix weighed on the consumer discretionary sector.

Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer warned that economic stability could be threatened by low interest rates and noted the central bank is “very close” to its employment and inflation targets, but said it was “not that simple” for the Fed to raise rates.

The comments from Fischer, a dove who has supported a rate hike, come as other Fed officials have recently said the current state of affairs may be about as good as it gets.

Conflicting statements on the timing of a rate hike from some Fed officials has been adding to uncertainty in markets, which have been grappling with changing dynamics in a tumultuous U.S. presidential election and nervousness regarding third-quarter earnings.

“Fischer’s stature is second only to Janet Yellen so when he speaks, people are going to pay closer attention to what he is saying,” said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at Wunderlich Securities in New York.

“To me, it is different slices of the same apple – we’ve got a Fed that desperately wants to raise rates one more time this year and that probably happens in December.”

Energy stocks .SPNY were 0.6 percent lower as U.S. oil prices CLc1 settled down 0.8 percent at $49.94 while Brent crude LCOc1 settled down 0.8 percent at $51.52 a barrel. Oil prices were weighed down by oversupply concerns, although losses were curbed amid a projected drop in American shale output.

The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI fell 51.98 points, or 0.29 percent, to 18,086.4, the S&P 500 .SPX lost 6.48 points, or 0.3 percent, to 2,126.5 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC dropped 14.34 points, or 0.27 percent, to 5,199.82.

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The Trusted Bursa Analyst
Today’s stock to watch are :

EG: (follow up from yesterday) expecting a pull back due to breakout without volume and market sentiment unstable. Entry at support : 0.87, Entry at breakout: 0.89. Support 0.855. Monitor closely if breakout.

Prlexus: Uptrend, Entry 1.60, Support 1.56, TP 1.72

WCT: Entry on breakout  1.71, Support 1.68, TP 1.80 at least. Remember Budget 2017 focus in on construction and I think this will be getting honey.

Hexza: Entry on breakout 0.965, support 0.94

Its Tuesday ! no more Monday Blue Please !

Follow Your Trusted Bursa Analyst Channel for stockpicks and daily update.

https://telegram.me/TTrustedBA

The Trusted Bursa Analyst
Trusted analysis of moving bursa stocks for your reference

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Logic Trading Analysis Channel,
BURSA MALAYSIA MARKET IDEAS TUESDAY (18/10/2016):

FBMKLCI SLOW MOVING AND DOWNTRENDING

Dear All,

The FBMKLCI closed lower at -5.26 point or -0.32% to close at 1653.71.

FBMKLCI slowly trending down, not a good sign. Becareful of before or after budget water fall. But all the direction much depends on DJIA movement. If DJIA stay strong, our downside will be supported as well.

DJIA movement same slowly trending down. Just be careful and monitor any big waterfall candle. If suddenly drop 150-300 point, will be more panic selling happens.

Market is not very strong movement, however still got some stock moving. Some of the better FA export stock like EVERGRN, HEVEA, LIIHEN, SUPERLN remain strong.

We will be extra cautious at the moment because this month market are very volatile.

Follow us closely !
https://telegram.me/ltachannel !

Life come to full circle when you see for yourself, a new life that you made this Tuesday !

“Goreng Tetap Goreng” !

Yours Sincerely,
Logic Trading Analysis

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KLSE StockAlliance:
18/10/2016 Stock Picks
1. HAIO / HEKTAR / GCB
2. PASDEC / EUPE / SYSCORP
3. Follow our channel closely during trading hours

Stock Alliance
The information contained in this channel is for general information purposes only. Any reliance you place on such information is therefore strictly at your own risk.
We hope to bring profit to everyone as we did in today.

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Boon:
CIMB Trading Ideas 18/10/2016

1) KSSC
2) A-Rank

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Good morning

Corporate News Roundup

1⃣ Yinson saw 119.71m shares traded off market today for RM367.5m.

2⃣ GPacket has proposed to undertake a private placement to raise up to RM14.5m for product and business development, future investments and working capital.

3⃣ KPJ plans to develop a piece of land in Batu Pahat, Johor into a RM67.6m hospital, to be known as KPJ Batu Pahat Specialist Hospital.

4⃣ Maypak minority shareholders have been urged by independent adviser Mercury Securities to reject a takeover offer from Japan-based Taisei Lamick Co Ltd.

5⃣ CIMB said it is negotiating a 50:50 JV in the stockbroking business with China Galaxy Securities Co Ltd.

6⃣ Nexgram has clarified that its Angkasa Icon City project in Cyberjaya has not been shelved, although construction works have yet to commence pending negotiations for financing.

Financial Result Highlight

Takaful recorded a 30% jump in its net profit to RM44.86m (5.47 sen/share) for 3Q, due to higher sales generated by both the family takaful and general takaful businesses.

Sources: theedgemarkets.com ; thestar.com

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Views – 77